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Evaluating the argument

How Well Can We Predict Our Feelings? Evaluate and discuss the argument presented in this video.
At the start of this lesson, you were asked to estimate how happy you’d be after a year in your dream job, and how happy you’d be a year after the dramatic end of your relationship with your best friend.
Has this lesson convinced you that you might have overestimated how much these events would impact your happiness? If so, which of the following pieces of evidence affected you the most?
  1. The evidence that football fans overestimated how happy they’d be after their team won a game.
  2. The evidence that people overestimated how unhappy they’d be after learning they were positive for HIV.
  3. The evidence that students overestimated how unhappy they’d be after getting rejected for a quick and easy job.
  4. The evidence that US voters overestimated how happy they’d be after their candidate won the presidential election.
  5. Other evidence discussed in the video.
  6. None of the evidence. I’m sticking with my initial estimates.
Discuss the ideas in this lesson with a friend! Compare experiences and think together critically about which aspects of the argument are convincing, which aren’t, and why.

Want to join the conversation?