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# Introduction to residuals

Build a basic understanding of what a residual is.
We run into a problem in stats when we're trying to fit a line to data points in a scatter plot. The problem is this: It's hard to say for sure which line fits the data best.
For example, imagine three scientists, start text, start color #ca337c, A, n, d, r, e, a, end color #ca337c, end text, start text, start color #01a995, J, e, r, e, m, y, end color #01a995, end text, and start text, start color #aa87ff, B, r, o, o, k, e, end color #aa87ff, end text, are working with the same data set. If each scientist draws a different line of fit, how do they decide which line is best?
If only we had some way to measure how well each line fit each data point...

## Residuals to the rescue!

A residual is a measure of how well a line fits an individual data point.
Consider this simple data set with a line of fit drawn through it
and notice how point left parenthesis, 2, comma, 8, right parenthesis is start color #1fab54, 4, end color #1fab54 units above the line:
This vertical distance is known as a residual. For data points above the line, the residual is positive, and for data points below the line, the residual is negative.
For example, the residual for the point left parenthesis, 4, comma, 3, right parenthesis is start color #e84d39, minus, 2, end color #e84d39:
The closer a data point's residual is to 0, the better the fit. In this case, the line fits the point left parenthesis, 4, comma, 3, right parenthesis better than it fits the point left parenthesis, 2, comma, 8, right parenthesis.

## Try to find the remaining residuals yourself

What is the residual of the point left parenthesis, 6, comma, 7, right parenthesis in the graph above?

What is the residual of the point left parenthesis, 8, comma, 8, right parenthesis in the graph above?

What is the residual of the point left parenthesis, 1, comma, 2, right parenthesis in the graph above?

## Want to join the conversation?

• what is the difference between error and residual?
• I think ysun means that:An error is a deviation from the population mean.A residual is a deviation from the sample mean.
Errors, like other population parameters (e.g. a population mean), are usually theoretical.
Residuals, like other sample statistics (e.g. a sample mean), are measured values from a sample. Sample statistics are often used to estimate population parameters, so in this case the residuals can be used to estimate the error.
• How do you do this On a calculator
• the explanation on how to do this using a calculator is confusing
• This article does not explain what to do with the residuals after calculating them. Are you supposed to sum them? When are you supposed to use them?
• Minimise them - the smaller they are, the better the line fits.
Also, graph them (on the y axis, with the original x values). They should be random. If there's a pattern, the line is not a good fit to the "cloud of dots".
• Really dumb question: Why is it called least squares regression? What does least squares mean?
• The "squares" refers to the squares (that is, the 2nd power) of the residuals, and the "least" just means that we're trying to find the smallest total sum of those squares.

You may ask: why squares? The best answer I could find is that it's easy (minimizing a quadratic formula is easy) and still gives good results.
• If you have a really positive residual point that is quite far form the LSRL is that good or bad ? Like what can you say about the residual?
• That would be what is called an "outlier".

It could suggest that the measurement that led to that point was wrong — e.g. The value was 3000, but 30000 got entered by mistake.

Another possibility, especially if there aren't a lot of data points, is that the relationship between the variables is not linear — e.g. an exponential curve might be a better fit....

ADDENDUM: It is also possible that the data is actually very "noisy" (highly variable).
• What are estimates ? How are they different from residuals ?
• An estimate would be the y-value predicted by the regression line whereas a residual is the signed difference between the actual y-value and the estimate.
(1 vote)
• If there are many points on a graph then how can you draw a line that is best for all of them?