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Course: Class 12 math (India) > Unit 15

Lesson 2: Bayes' theorem
Math
Class 12 math (India)
Probability
Bayes' theorem
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Bayes' theorem

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Problem

There is a 80% chance that Ashish takes bus to the school and there is a 20% chance that his father drops him to school.
The probability that he is late to school is 0.5 if he takes the bus and 0.2 if his father drops him.
On a given day, Ashish is late to school.
Find the probability that his father dropped him to school on that day.
Express your answer as a number, rounded to two decimal places.
  • Your answer should be
  • an integer, like 6
  • a simplified proper fraction, like 3/5
  • a simplified improper fraction, like 7/4
  • a mixed number, like 1 3/4
  • an exact decimal, like 0.75
  • a multiple of pi, like 12 pi or 2/3 pi